Why It's Hard Predicting Presidential Politics

When it comes to politics, there is frequent evidence that the old axiom that the more things change the more things stay the same is true.

Case in point the 2020 presidential campaign.  Donald Trump took office is president just less than two years ago, yet the race to replace him is well underway, starting even before the start of 2019 with the announcement by Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren she plans to run.  And now California Senator  Kamala Harris is making the circuit about her new book and is expected to announce that she plans to run for president.

And there are at least a dozen or more other names of other likely or possible candidates for the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination in 2020.

It’s all very similar to what happened in the campaign for the 2016 for the Republican Party’s nomination for president. Except in reverse.

Democrat Barack Obama was president, Hillary Clinton was the party’s heir apparent, and Republicans very passionate about re-taking the White House, it didn’t take long before there were 17 candidates for the GOP presidential nomination. 

Now fast forward from 2014 to 2019…with Democrats now the ones who very passionate to make sure President Trump is not re-elected.  Given that, it looks like there could be just as many candidates running to become the Democratic nominee.

But then with almost still almost two years to go before the 2020 presidential election, and Donald Trump arguably one of the most unique U.S. presidents and even if history can repeat itself in politics, no one can predict what will happen.

(Photo credit Getty Images)

Cliff Notes on the News

Cliff Notes on the News

Veteran San Diego news director and reporter Cliff Albert shares his thoughts on the latest news and stories each weekday at 12 noon. Read more


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